The Well: Matt24

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A stranger is being shown around a village that he has just become part of. He is shown a well and his guide says "On any day except tuesday, you can shout any question down that well and you'll be told the answer" . The man seems pretty impressed, and so he shouts down: Why not on tuesday? and the voice from in the well shouts back: Because on tuesday, its your day in the well.


Alright, going to try this out, hopefully we can have a different person every couple of weeks. Ask me a question and I'll answer it, anything from poker(specific hand situations is fine), sports, sports background, sports betting, bachelor life, life in general,anything just keep them coming.

Just line the questions up, I'll answer them when I'm around, which will probably be all day.
 

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Why do you play almost strictly limit?

I can't understand any reason why anyone that has a clue would rather play limit than no limit other than the fear (comfort level) of losing chips in a bigger chunk.

When my opponent makes a mistake, I want him to lose his stack to me rather than 4 bets as I am going to make less mistakes and for smaller amounts.
 

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Why do you play almost strictly limit?

I can't understand any reason why anyone that has a clue would rather play limit than no limit other than the fear (comfort level) of losing chips in a bigger chunk.

When my opponent makes a mistake, I want him to lose his stack to me rather than 4 bets as I am going to make less mistakes and for smaller amounts.

I used to play strictly limit, I actually play mostly Multi-table tourneys now, but why did I use to. That is how the game was on 2004 when I started out playing professionally, no limit wasn't a huge thing, limit was still the big game, of course that has changed now.

but you say comfort level on losing chips, limit actually has a lot more variance than no limit, sound weird, but its a fact. So the swings are greater in limit poker than no limit for a above-average player.


Also, I'm a better limit player, I'm learning more and more no limit every day and try to play a little bit of 1-2 nl or 2-4 nl at times to get the hang of it.
 

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do you like Kelvin Sampson's blue shirt/red tie get-up he wears every game??
 

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do you like Kelvin Sampson's blue shirt/red tie get-up he wears every game??


I hated it at first, but am now warming up to it as the whole fanbase is. Now a ton of students wear the shirt and tie to the game and it looks pretty good. As long as he keeps winning and bringing in stud recruits, I'll like the shirt.
 

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What's your take on Marvin Lewis as a Bengals fan? I know the fans gotta love that he brought them out of their annual 5-11 and 3-13 seasons, but with all the off the field problems with the players he brought in and the dissapointing season last year, I'm wondering if the luster is wearing off?
 

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What well, or at least relatively well known food chain, produces the best chicken sandwich in your opinion?
 

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but you say comfort level on losing chips, limit actually has a lot more variance than no limit, sound weird, but its a fact. So the swings are greater in limit poker than no limit for a above-average player.

100% disagree. It's not even an arguable point.

I have no idea how some people think this (and some obviously do). If you are playing both games properly, there is no possible way limit has a higher variance.
 

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100% disagree. It's not even an arguable point.

I have no idea how some people think this (and some obviously do). If you are playing both games properly, there is no possible way limit has a higher variance.


its a fact, this isnt an opinion. limit poker has more variance than no limit. expert players can have 800 big bet downswings in limit poker, it has happened. The game of limit poker is so swingy. I can try to find you some literature on this which will prove it to you, but you can take my word for it, its a fact, mathematically proven by standard deviations and all that stuff.
 

WVU

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Matt, are you planning to be at the next bash? i would love to meet and chat with you.
 

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What's your take on Marvin Lewis as a Bengals fan? I know the fans gotta love that he brought them out of their annual 5-11 and 3-13 seasons, but with all the off the field problems with the players he brought in and the dissapointing season last year, I'm wondering if the luster is wearing off?

I love Marvin and all the fans still do. Yeah he brought in some players who he thought would mature and they didn't or havent yet, I love the risks he took for the most part and want a coach willing to take risks.
 

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What well, or at least relatively well known food chain, produces the best chicken sandwich in your opinion?

I really like the Burger King breaded sandwhiches, you know the long ones.
I'm sure Chik-fil-a has a good chicken sandwhich but I usually have some sort of strips there.


Burger King is the only place I will order a chicken sandwhich.
 

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Matt, are you planning to be at the next bash? i would love to meet and chat with you.


Not sure, but I would say I doubt it, it usually falls at a time when I'm over Vegas as I'll be out there during the summer a lot for WSOP, but its possible I'll make it. I'd like to make it.
 

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its a fact, this isnt an opinion. limit poker has more variance than no limit. expert players can have 800 big bet downswings in limit poker, it has happened. The game of limit poker is so swingy. I can try to find you some literature on this which will prove it to you, but you can take my word for it, its a fact, mathematically proven by standard deviations and all that stuff.

How can you mathematically prove something like that? Impossible!

Do you think that Sklansky is going to have the same variance in no limit as Ivey or Lindgren? Give me a break!

The aggressive players (with much higher variance) will win much more in the long run than a Sklansky-nit.

Please tell me you are not a mathematically driven Sklansky-nit.
 

I'll be in the Bar..With my head on the Bar
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Good to see you again InsideThePylons. 1 of my favorite players....

Could we take this variance thing to the poker forum in a different thread??

i think Matts got a good idea here with this thread and i'd hate to see it bogged down on a poker disc that most wont care anything about.....
 

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How can you mathematically prove something like that? Impossible!

Do you think that Sklansky is going to have the same variance in no limit as Ivey or Lindgren? Give me a break!

The aggressive players (with much higher variance) will win much more in the long run than a Sklansky-nit.

Please tell me you are not a mathematically driven Sklansky-nit.

I'm not a nit, I don't like Sklansky as a person or as a tourney player thats for sure. Sklansky is obv going to have higher variance than Ivey or Lindgren in no limit because Ivey is the best player in the world, he will have a super high win rate, therefore his variance will be lower.

You are sort of misapplying variance and not understanding how it reacts with winrates
 

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What is your sports betting style, and how has your success in that arena compared to your success in poker? Do you mostly play poker and just dabble in sports for fun?
 

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What is your sports betting style, and how has your success in that arena compared to your success in poker? Do you mostly play poker and just dabble in sports for fun?


my style is currently that I don't bet all that often, but I basically blindly bet the unranked fav angle and its kicking ass this year. I have also faded Duke hardcore all year and I bet bigger on IU games because I feel i have a big edge on those. I have crushed IU games since I was in college, even fading them. One of my favorite bets ever was when I knew Jared Jeffries was out for IU against Wisconsin and the line stayed IU -10.5 or so, I hammered Wiscy and they win it outright, that was year IU went to final game. Currently I bet $300 a game and I made my biggest bet ever this year when I took IU +13.5 vs Duke for $2000!!!!!!!! Easy winner, Duke is the suck.

I take sports seriously, but don't have time to study it much, thats why I only bet big on IU games because I have studied IU and most big ten teams and also I can bet the unranked thing basically blind.

I have been pretty successful in sports thanks to this forum. I was an idiot college kid calling Razorsharp when I was first introduced to betting, it took me a month to figure everything out and I was on track.

I haven't watched an NBA game or followed stats/trends since the year I bet a ton of NBA games all posted on here, I bet a ton of games and had a 60% or so winrate which I included writeups and everythign on my games. I'd like to think that if I applied my time to that and any sport, that I could beat any sport over the longterm. As is, the time is not there.
 

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Chip Reese told me that a "great" no-limit player will have a much higher winning % of sessions than a "great" limit player. How that equates to a person's bankroll, I have never been able to figure out. Matt or Pylons, got any ideas? Good Luck
 
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if you had the choice, what hole cards would you prefer to hold?

AKo, or AQs
 

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